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The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."After the emergency martial law storm, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively. After the emergency martial law storm in South Korea, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively, and the stock market fluctuated obviously. This week, it began to rebound slightly. South Korean media pointed out that the uncertainty of South Korea's political situation may put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Planning and Finance, Choe Sang-mu, held an "emergency macroeconomic and financial symposium" on the 10th to discuss the dynamics of the financial and foreign exchange markets and the countermeasures. According to South Korea's Chosun Ilbo reported on the 9th, after the emergency martial law storm, the total market value of South Korea's stock market evaporated by 58 trillion won within three days, and more than 400 billion US dollars of foreign exchange reserves were also threatened. As the political struggle of "impeaching the president" continues, not only finance, but also retail, alcohol, real estate, semiconductor export and other aspects of the Korean economy have also felt the chill. South Korean media believe that if financial instability and the stagnation of the real economy, the economy may fall into crisis sharply. According to the "Foreign Securities Investment Trends in November" released by the Korea Financial Supervisory Authority on the 10th, foreign investors sold 4.154 trillion won in the Korean securities market last month and sold Korean shares for four consecutive months. South Korea's "Asia Daily" said on the 10th that as South Korea re-entered the presidential impeachment time, the uncertainty intensified, and it is expected that the net selling behavior of foreign investors will continue. Although South Korea's stock market rebounded on the 10th, the uncertainty of the political situation put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Chosun Ilbo published a commentary on the 10th, saying that Fitch and Moody's, among the world's three major credit rating agencies, have successively warned that if the storm after martial law is prolonged, South Korea's national credit rating may be negatively affected. (CCTV)Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)

The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.The Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024. On the afternoon of December 10th, the Environmental Protection Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized the liaison meeting of the coordination mechanism of cleaner production promotion departments in 2024 to sort out and summarize the latest progress, existing problems and difficulties in the implementation of cleaner production in 2024, study the key tasks in 2025, and promote the completion of the objectives and tasks of the Tenth Five-Year Plan.Market News: The Slovak Prime Minister said that Slovakia supports the normalization of relations between Russia and western countries and opposes the emergence of a new iron curtain in Europe. The Slovak Prime Minister emphasized that all conflicts will be finally resolved through negotiations.

During the "slimming" of the brokerage business department, more than 100 companies were cancelled during the year, and the competition turned to differentiated services. The brokerage business of brokerage companies is welcoming a new round of changes. In the past few days, a number of brokers have announced the cancellation of their relevant business departments. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, in the past two weeks, many brokers such as Nanjing Securities, Guosen Securities and Pacific Securities announced that they would "streamline" their business departments. Looking at it for a long time, more than 35 brokers have issued announcements during the year, "downsizing" hundreds of business departments. Insiders pointed out that the traditional offline outlet business development model has increasingly shown drawbacks and high cost pressure; At the same time, more and more customers rely on online transactions and mobile terminal transactions, so it is imperative to "streamline" the business department to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Future competition depends more on differentiated financial management and trading services. (Shell Finance)ING is bearish on the prospect of commodities next year. It is expected that gold will outshine others. ING said that energy and commodities will be under pressure next year, while the prospect of gold is still bright. According to ING, due to geopolitical concerns, the price of gold is bound to continue this year's record high, and the average price of gold in 2025 will rise from about $2,713 per ounce at present to $2,760 per ounce. Most of the buying will come from central banks seeking diversification of foreign exchange reserves, and the intensification of trade and geopolitical frictions may increase the safe-haven appeal of gold.China's first near-zero carbon port microgrid landed in Jiangsu, and the first near-zero carbon port microgrid, a major innovation pilot of China's new power system construction, was recently built in Lianyungang. The role of microgrid is not "micro", and smart microgrid is a small power distribution system composed of distributed power supply, power load, power distribution facilities, monitoring and protection devices. State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power teamed up with Lianyungang Port to build a "multi-energy complementary" smart microgrid in the port, helping to realize the zero carbon emission of freighters from berthing to loading and unloading. Yang Huadong, Engineering Department of Lianyungang Port Holding Group Co., Ltd. introduced that after all kinds of power generation and power consumption equipment are connected to the microgrid, the annual power generation of clean energy can exceed 6 million kWh. After flexible dispatching through the microgrid, the annual electricity consumption cost can be saved by over 3 million yuan, 21,000 tons of standard coal can be saved and 56,000 tons of carbon dioxide emissions can be reduced.